Why Startups Fail in the First 2 Years: The No.1 Reason Revealed by Europe's Top Pre-Seed Investor (2026)

Here’s a shocking truth: the number one reason startups crash and burn within their first two years has nothing to do with funding, marketing, or even their product idea. It’s all about the relationship between co-founders. Yes, you read that right. According to Reece Chowdhry, founding partner of Concept Ventures—Europe’s largest pre-seed fund and early investor in the $3 billion AI powerhouse Eleven Labs—the chemistry between founders is the make-or-break factor for early-stage startups. But here’s where it gets controversial: Chowdhry doesn’t just look at business plans or market potential; he invests in people—specifically, their personalities, traits, and how well they know each other. Before they even have a product.

Concept Ventures, founded in 2018, recently raised $88 million for its newest fund, doubling down on its unique approach to backing startups at the ideation stage. Chowdhry revealed to CNBC Make It that 80% of his investment decision hinges on the founders themselves, not their pitch decks. And this is the part most people miss: he’s not just looking for likability—he’s digging deep into their shared history, vision alignment, and even their personal strengths and weaknesses. Imagine being asked New York Times’ dating questions in a VC meeting! But that’s exactly what Chowdhry does to test how intimately co-founders know each other.

Why does this matter? Because, as Chowdhry puts it, 'The number one reason companies fail in the first 18 to 24 months is that founders fall out with each other.' It’s not about a lack of funding or a bad market—it’s about clashing egos, misaligned goals, and a breakdown in trust. Take Eleven Labs, for example. What convinced Chowdhry to invest? The co-founders, Mati Staniszewski and Piotr Dąbkowski, weren’t just business partners—they were childhood friends with a shared obsession for their field and complementary skill sets. That’s what Chowdhry calls 'the whole package.'

But let’s pause for a moment. Is this approach too risky? After all, not every successful startup is built on lifelong friendships. Y-Combinator co-founder Paul Graham famously warned that solo founders face an uphill battle, but even with multiple founders, failure is possible if their relationship is fragile. Graham once said, 'Startups do to the relationship between the founders what a dog does to a sock: if it can be pulled apart, it will be.' So, is Chowdhry’s focus on co-founder chemistry a foolproof strategy, or is it overlooking other critical factors?

Chowdhry admits it’s not just about friendship—it’s about balance. He looks for teams with complementary skills, whether it’s a fast thinker paired with a detail-oriented strategist or a charismatic leader who can attract top talent. But here’s the bold question: In a world obsessed with innovation and scalability, are we underestimating the power of human connection in building successful companies?

Think about it: How well do you really know your co-founder? Could your startup survive a disagreement over vision or strategy? And if you’re an investor, are you betting on the right traits—or just the next big idea? Let’s spark a debate: Is co-founder chemistry the ultimate predictor of startup success, or is there more to the story? Share your thoughts in the comments—we’re all ears!

Why Startups Fail in the First 2 Years: The No.1 Reason Revealed by Europe's Top Pre-Seed Investor (2026)

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